CRB vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FEI
1 - 2
CRB
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CRB
1 - 2
CAM
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
CRB
35%
24%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CRB
3 - 1
FEI
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRB
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAM
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
FEI
0 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
FEI
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
3 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRB
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |