CRB vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
ASA
2 - 1
CRB
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
ICA
2 - 0
CRB
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CRB
2 - 1
CON
60%
22%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CRB
1 - 2
ICA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
CRB
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 1
ICA
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 0
ASA
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
SAL
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SAL
2 - 1
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
ASA
3 - 0
SAL
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |