Alagoano Inicial Semi-finals
Global 5-2
CRB vs Jacyobá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
CRB
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
JAC
2 - 3
CRB
11%
18%
71%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CRB
3 - 0
CEO
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CRB
1 - 2
NAU
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CRB
3 - 0
DSA
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 26 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Jacyobá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
JAC
2 - 3
CRB
11%
18%
71%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ASA
1 - 1
JAC
64%
20%
17%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
JAC
4 - 1
MUR
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DSA
0 - 3
JAC
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
JAC
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |