CRB vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CEO
1 - 0
CRB
17%
22%
62%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
CRB
0 - 1
GLO
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 1
CRB
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 2
CRB
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
CRB
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
IPA
0 - 3
ASA
15%
23%
63%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
IPA
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IPA
2 - 0
CSA
26%
29%
45%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +5 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
IPA
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
CSE
20%
25%
55%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +4 |