CRB vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
AMF
4 - 0
CRB
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CRB
0 - 2
BRA
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ASA
0 - 0
CRB
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
CRB
2 - 1
ASA
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CSA
2 - 2
CRB
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
GUA
28%
24%
49%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
PPE
26%
25%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 0
GUA
83%
13%
5%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
XVD
2 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |