CRB vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 1
CRB
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
CRB
1 - 3
GRE
19%
27%
54%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRB
2 - 0
BRA
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
CRB
2 - 0
COR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
CRB
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 1
LUV
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BAH
4 - 1
MOG
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
LUV
0 - 0
BAH
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
AMF
1 - 1
BAH
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAH
6 - 0
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | +2 |