CRB vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 0
SAN
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CRB
4 - 0
MIG
88%
10%
2%
|
64 | 6 | 58 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
CRB
10%
19%
71%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CSE
1 - 1
CRB
10%
17%
73%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CRB
3 - 0
LUV
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
COR
0 - 1
CSA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 3
CSA
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
CSA
3 - 0
ABC
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 0
MUR
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VOL
4 - 0
CSA
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |