Alagoano Inicial
Global 3-0
CRB vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
CRB
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 0
COR
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
CRB
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 3
MUR
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CRB
0 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 2
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
CRB
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 0
ASA
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |