CRB vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CON
0 - 1
CRB
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
CRZ
0 - 2
CRB
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CRB
2 - 0
CEO
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CRB
2 - 3
NAU
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRB
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
76%
17%
8%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 5
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 1
SPO
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |