CRB vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
CRB
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CRB
1 - 1
CUI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 2
CRB
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CRB
2 - 0
RIO
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CRB
0 - 1
TRE
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUV
18%
25%
57%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AGU
3 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 3
SAN
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CUI
3 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAM
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |