Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-5
CRB vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 1
SAN
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 1
CRB
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
ITU
61%
24%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
CRB
4 - 1
BOT
59%
25%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CRB
2 - 1
COT
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAS
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
ATM
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAO
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
3 - 0
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |