CRB vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ARN
4 - 0
CRB
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
CRB
2 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
CRB
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
CRB
1 - 0
FOR
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CRB
0 - 1
CSA
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
ARN
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ARN
4 - 0
CRB
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ARN
1 - 0
CAM
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 3
ARN
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 2
ARN
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +2 |