Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-1
CRB vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CRB
3 - 0
IPA
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CEO
1 - 0
CRB
17%
22%
62%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
CRB
0 - 1
GLO
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 1
CRB
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 2
CRB
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COR
0 - 8
AMA
18%
21%
60%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AMA
3 - 0
SOC
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +4 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
3 - 1
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
SER
24%
25%
52%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 2
AMA
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |