Alagoano Inicial Etapas Finales Final
Global 4-1
CRB vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ASA
0 - 1
CRB
10%
20%
70%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CRB
2 - 0
ALT
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRB
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
CRB
3 - 1
SDJ
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CRB
3 - 0
MUR
82%
14%
5%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ASA
0 - 1
CRB
10%
20%
70%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 0
CSE
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CSE
1 - 1
ASA
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CRB
0 - 2
ASA
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ASA
0 - 2
SCI
9%
23%
69%
|
47 | 91 | 44 | 0 |