CRB vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
CRB
0 - 1
BAH
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
CRB
6%
18%
76%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 0
CRB
7%
18%
76%
|
80 | 36 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
CAR
90%
8%
2%
|
80 | 26 | 54 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
CRB
7%
18%
76%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ASA
0 - 2
SCI
9%
23%
69%
|
47 | 91 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 2
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
ASA
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 0
CSA
13%
23%
64%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 1
COR
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |