CRB vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 0
SAM
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
CRB
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 0
AAL
83%
12%
4%
|
72 | 24 | 48 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 1
CRB
5%
12%
84%
|
72 | 23 | 49 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
CRB
9%
20%
72%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CSE
4 - 1
ASA
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 2
CSA
7%
20%
73%
|
39 | 75 | 36 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 2
CUI
8%
22%
71%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
AAL
1 - 1
ASA
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |