CRB vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CSA
1 - 0
CRB
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
CRB
3 - 0
COR
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
CRB
1 - 2
CEA
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CON
0 - 1
CRB
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
CRZ
0 - 2
CRB
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CSE
1 - 2
ASA
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
ASA
2 - 0
CSA
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ASA
0 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
ASA
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CRB
4 - 0
ASA
78%
16%
6%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |