CRB vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 0
CRB
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
IPA
4 - 1
CRB
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CRB
2 - 1
COR
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
CRB
52%
22%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASA
2 - 2
COR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
COR
0 - 0
ASA
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
IGA
1 - 2
ASA
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
ASA
1 - 0
IGA
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ASA
2 - 2
COR
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |