CRB U23 vs Vasco da Gama Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+942%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
14º
4º
11
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 2
CRB
17%
19%
65%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
SPR
0 - 1
CRB
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
CRB
2 - 2
BOT
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
CRB
3 - 2
FOR
25%
25%
49%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
CRB
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATM
16%
18%
66%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 1
FOR
18%
23%
59%
|
8 | 52 | 44 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
ECV
4 - 3
VAS
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
VAS
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 43 | 35 | -1 |