Cray Wanderers vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 1
HOR
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BOW
1 - 2
CRA
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CRA
0 - 0
WIN
86%
9%
5%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 4
CRA
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 1
LEA
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LEW
0 - 1
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
0 - 1
LEW
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
3 - 0
LEW
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MER
2 - 4
LEW
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LEW
0 - 1
LEA
36%
24%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |