Cray Wanderers vs Chesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
64.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
CRA
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
POT
1 - 1
CRA
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 4
HOR
19%
20%
60%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NEE
0 - 1
CRA
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CON
0 - 3
CRA
29%
22%
50%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
HEN
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
POO
2 - 5
CHE
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 1
BRA
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
CHE
34%
24%
41%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
DID
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |