Crawley Town vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MAN
4 - 0
CRA
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 3
HIS
39%
25%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
CRA
29%
27%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 3
CRA
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
WRE
3 - 0
EAS
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
WRE
2 - 0
WEY
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
EBB
1 - 0
WRE
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KET
1 - 0
WRE
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
WRE
0 - 1
ALT
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |