Crawley Town vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
GIL
0 - 1
CRA
37%
27%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
POR
70%
18%
11%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 2
ALD
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
CRA
18%
27%
55%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
CRA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
4 - 2
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 1
ROT
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 1
GUL
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 0
PLY
55%
24%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
CRE
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |