Crawley Town vs Rochdale analysis

Crawley Town Rochdale
51 ELO 47
9.9% Tilt 8.5%
2028º General ELO ranking 3896º
67º Country ELO ranking 129º
ELO win probability
54.5%
Crawley Town
23.2%
Draw
22.3%
Rochdale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
Crawley Town
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.3%
Win probability
Rochdale
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crawley Town
+26%
+20%
Rochdale

Points and table prediction

Crawley Town
Their league position
Rochdale
CURR.POS.
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
15º
24º
22º
37
18º
24º
24º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
24º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leyton Orient
90
91
100%
Stevenage
82
85
100%
Northampton
80
81
100%
Stockport County
78
79
100%
Carlisle United
75
78
50.5%
Salford City
75
76
29.5%
Bradford City
75
76
4%
Mansfield Town
72
73
100%
Barrow
62
62
100%
Swindon Town
10º
58
61
10º
19.5%
Grimsby Town
12º
58
61
11º
8.5%
Newport County
15º
56
59
12º
39%
Tranmere Rovers
11º
58
59
13º
43%
Crewe Alexandra
13º
57
57
14º
24.5%
Sutton United
14º
57
57
15º
41.5%
Doncaster Rovers
16º
55
56
16º
32.5%
Harrogate Town
19º
51
54
17º
31.5%
Walsall
17º
52
53
18º
25.5%
Gillingham
18º
52
53
19º
43%
Colchester United
20º
49
50
20º
84.5%
AFC Wimbledon
21º
48
48
21º
60.5%
Crawley Town
22º
46
46
22º
76%
Hartlepool United
23º
42
43
23º
100%
Rochdale
24º
37
37
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Crawley Town
Rochdale
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Crawley Town
Rochdale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crawley Town
Crawley Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2023
CRA
Crawley Town
1 - 1
Doncaster Rovers
DON
43%
25%
33%
50 52 2 0
18 Mar. 2023
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Crawley Town
CRA
50%
24%
25%
49 53 4 +1
11 Mar. 2023
CRA
Crawley Town
3 - 1
Harrogate Town
TOW
37%
25%
38%
47 51 4 +2
07 Mar. 2023
SUT
Sutton United
3 - 0
Crawley Town
CRA
56%
24%
20%
48 58 10 -1
04 Mar. 2023
NOR
Northampton
1 - 0
Crawley Town
CRA
54%
25%
21%
49 59 10 -1

Matches

Rochdale
Rochdale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2023
ROC
Rochdale
4 - 4
Swindon Town
SWI
24%
24%
52%
47 56 9 0
11 Mar. 2023
GRI
Grimsby Town
1 - 0
Rochdale
ROC
62%
23%
15%
47 60 13 0
04 Mar. 2023
ROC
Rochdale
2 - 0
Stevenage
STE
21%
26%
54%
46 62 16 +1
25 Feb. 2023
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
Rochdale
ROC
57%
23%
20%
46 50 4 0
21 Feb. 2023
ROC
Rochdale
1 - 2
Stockport County
STO
11%
22%
68%
46 65 19 0
X