Crawley Town vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
63.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 0
CAM
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
NOT
3 - 1
CRA
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CRA
3 - 1
YEO
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
CRA
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 0
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
OPA
0 - 2
GIL
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
COV
0 - 1
OPA
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 3
OPA
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
OPA
2 - 2
WYC
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
POS
1 - 2
OPA
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |