Crawley Town vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 0
MAN
30%
28%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
CRA
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
OPA
1 - 0
CRA
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 0
CHE
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 0
NOR
8%
14%
78%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
PLY
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
PLY
2 - 2
OLD
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
PLY
1 - 1
BRO
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
NOR
3 - 1
PLY
42%
27%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
PLY
2 - 4
REA
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |