Crawley Town vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
69.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CRA
4 - 1
SCU
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
CRA
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 3
COL
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 4
SWI
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
CRA
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
HAY
0 - 2
OXF
6%
13%
81%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
OPA
1 - 1
OXF
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
OXF
1 - 1
SUN
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
OXF
3 - 0
ROC
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ROT
1 - 2
OXF
40%
25%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |