Crawley Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
WAL
5 - 0
CRA
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SCU
2 - 1
CRA
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 0
OLD
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 0
CRA
44%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 2
GIL
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 1
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
YEO
1 - 1
NOT
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
COV
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 0
NOT
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 2
SCU
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |