Crawley Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 2
MKD
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LEY
2 - 3
CRA
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
PNE
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BRO
0 - 0
CRA
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CRE
1 - 0
CRA
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRI
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
COL
0 - 4
NOT
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NOT
3 - 1
GIL
43%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 1
BRE
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |