Crawley Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CRE
0 - 2
CRA
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
COV
1 - 0
CRA
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
YEO
5 - 0
CRA
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 2
GRI
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 1
CRA
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
STE
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 0
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BPO
4 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 1
WYC
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 3
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |