Crawley Town vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
YOR
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
CRA
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 1
CRA
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 1
LUT
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 2
LEY
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DAG
0 - 2
LUT
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LUT
1 - 2
PLY
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
LUT
1 - 1
LEY
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 1
LUT
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUT
1 - 1
YOR
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |