Crawley Town vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
WRE
2 - 0
CRA
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
ALT
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
CAM
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 2
KID
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
CHM
2 - 1
CRA
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LUT
1 - 2
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
YOR
0 - 0
LUT
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
EAS
0 - 1
LUT
24%
27%
48%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
LUT
2 - 1
OXF
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUT
35%
27%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |