Crawley Town vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DAG
1 - 1
CRA
22%
27%
52%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 1
NOR
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
AFC
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
CRA
17%
26%
57%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
CRE
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
NOR
39%
26%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
PLY
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 0
HER
57%
24%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |