Crawley Town vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
WYC
1 - 2
CRA
55%
24%
20%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 3
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
COL
2 - 3
CRA
65%
19%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LUT
2 - 1
CRA
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
BPO
0 - 0
CRA
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
EXE
2 - 2
BPO
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
EXE
1 - 1
STE
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 2
EXE
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PLY
3 - 0
EXE
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
EXE
4 - 0
CRE
68%
19%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |