Crawley Town vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LEY
1 - 2
CRA
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 1
CRA
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 2
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 1
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
CRA
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
WAL
3 - 0
COL
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
COL
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
WIG
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 2
COL
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
COL
1 - 1
NEW
33%
27%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |