Crawley Town vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BOU
3 - 0
CRA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
OPA
1 - 2
CRA
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 2
SHE
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STE
1 - 2
CRA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 2
STF
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
COL
1 - 3
BRE
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 0
COL
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 0
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MKD
5 - 1
COL
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |