Crawley Town vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GRI
0 - 0
CRA
57%
23%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
CRA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
OPA
3 - 1
CRA
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CRA
0 - 1
CUM
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 2
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 2
MOR
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 1
CHE
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ROT
1 - 2
CHE
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 2
CHE
34%
24%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 3
YEO
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |