Crawley Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
CRA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 0
CRA
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 1
LEY
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 0
TRA
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MKD
0 - 2
CRA
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CUM
0 - 1
OLD
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
POS
4 - 1
CUM
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
CUM
1 - 1
WAL
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PNE
6 - 1
CUM
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CUM
1 - 0
SWI
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |