Crawley Town vs Cambridge United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MKD
2 - 0
CRA
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 1
CRA
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 0
CRA
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 3
BRA
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 0
SWI
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
5 - 0
CUM
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 2
MOR
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
YOR
2 - 2
CAM
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
OPA
2 - 1
CAM
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BIR
3 - 1
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |