Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
LEY
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 1
CRA
24%
22%
54%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CUM
1 - 0
CRA
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ALD
3 - 2
CRA
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 2
CRA
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 4
BRO
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 2
FOR
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 0
STO
27%
25%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SWA
3 - 2
BRO
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
BAT
3 - 1
BRO
8%
17%
75%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |