Crawley Town vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
CUM
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
CRA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 0
CRA
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 1
LEY
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 0
TRA
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 0
CRE
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
STE
1 - 3
BRI
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
NOT
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 1
BRI
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 1
PNE
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |