Crawley Town vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
CRA
18%
27%
55%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
CRA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 1
GUL
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
STF
2 - 1
CRA
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
MOR
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 1
ALD
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
GUL
1 - 0
ALD
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ALD
4 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
ALD
2 - 0
SOU
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |