Crawley Town vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
YOR
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRA
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 0
RUS
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 4
CRA
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
LUT
63%
21%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
LUT
0 - 0
AFC
51%
22%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
AFC
6 - 1
FLE
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
FLE
0 - 2
AFC
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 1
GRI
57%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
AFC
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |