Crawley Town vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 1
DAG
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 5
CRA
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 1
STF
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 1
CRA
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 0
PLY
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
STF
1 - 0
STA
61%
24%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
CHE
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
SWI
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
TRA
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PLY
2 - 2
STA
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |