Crato vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
65.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 1
CRA
82%
13%
4%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 4
CAL
12%
20%
68%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
CRA
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
CRA
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
PEN
28%
23%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
PEN
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
BEN
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 1
BEN
21%
24%
56%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 3
GFC
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |