Crato vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
CRA
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
CRA
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIT
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRA
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 0
ADM
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADM
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAL
22%
27%
51%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
SER
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |