Crato vs Trairiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
ICA
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
CRA
33%
26%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 0
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
CRA
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 2
TIR
35%
24%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Trairiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
FER
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
4 - 1
TRA
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
TRA
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
TRA
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 2
CEA
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |