Crato vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
CRA
79%
14%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ICA
4 - 3
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 3
GUA
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 2
LIM
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
ICA
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 3
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 2
QUI
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 3
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
4 - 0
QUI
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |