Crato vs Maracanã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRA
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
CRA
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
5 - 1
CRA
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 4
CEA
13%
19%
67%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
TIR
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
PAC
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
MAR
52%
21%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
UNI
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |