Crato vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 2
HOR
24%
21%
55%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
CRA
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
CRA
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 2
CRA
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
TIR
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRA
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
5 - 0
ITA
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |